Risk analysis of non-achievement of national development goals, risks of implementation of national projects and government programs based on the results of their monitoring in 2020-2024 in the context of changing external and internal environment. Preparation of proposals for improving the risk management system (P101-19-24) – Kirichenko I.A.
Timely response to the challenges of the current stage of Russia's development is one of the main directions for increasing the level of achievability of our country's strategic documents. Expert materials related to risks arising during the implementation of national projects of state programs of the Russian Federation are in demand.
#national projects #government programs #risks #methodological tools #management system #organizational chart
Expected results:


    · Creation of additional tools to identify and timely respond to risks in the implementation of national projects and government programs of the Russian Federation. * Optimization of business processes for risk management in the implementation of national projects and government programs of the Russian Federation.

Comparative analysis of the effectiveness of measures (results) of state programs of the Russian Federation aimed at achieving common goals and indicators of state programs of the Russian Federation (P102-19-24) - Kirichenko I.A.
Currently, one of the most important issues facing the state authorities of the Russian Federation is improving the welfare of the population and modernizing the country's economy. In recent decades, the programmatic method of public administration has been actively used to solve these problems, the use of which contributes to improving the efficiency of budget spending and management at all levels of government. At the same time, a fairly wide range of methods and tools are used in the implementation of government programs, which differ not only in their content, but also in the effectiveness of their use.
#government programs #federal projects #structural elements #implementation tools
Expected results:


    · Methodology for comparative evaluation of the effectiveness of various instruments for the implementation of government programs in the Russian Federation to achieve uniform indicators of government programs.

    · Comparative assessment of various instruments for the implementation of state programs of the Russian Federation to achieve uniform indicators (according to the agreed list of state programs).

    · Proposals for improving the effectiveness of the implementation of certain measures (results) of state programs of the Russian Federation (according to the agreed list of state programs).


Assessment of the availability (achievability) of goals and planned values of indicators of state programs of the Russian Federation by measures (results) of their structural elements (103-19-24) - Kirichenko I.A.

In modern conditions, there is an increased need to comply with the principle of efficient use of budgetary funds in accordance with the requirements of the Budget Code of the Russian Federation. For the implementation of national tasks, additional methodological developments are in demand, ensuring control over the realism and ambitiousness of the goals and indicators of government programs of the Russian Federation. There is an increased need to use the most balanced and optimal set of measures that meet the goals and indicators of Russian government programs.
#government programs #structural elements #strategic planning

Expected results:


    · Conducting an assessment of the achievability and realism of the set goals of government programs of the Russian Federation.

    · Conducting an assessment of the sufficiency of measures (results) of structural elements of state programs of the Russian Federation to achieve the established goals of state programs of the Russian Federation.

    · Conducting an assessment of the sufficiency of measures (results) of structural elements of state programs of the Russian Federation to achieve the established target values of indicators of state programs of the Russian Federation.


The development of an intersectoral model of medium-term forecasting. Construction of operational input-output tables for three years of the forecast period, including the current year. Development of forecast input-output tables for the medium term, at comparable prices and prices of current years, taking into account the scenario conditions and indicators of the forecast of Russia's development in the medium term. Balancing the indicators of scenario conditions and the forecast of Russia's development based on the intersectoral balance model. Assessment of the main and specific factors of economic growth in the retrospective and forecast periods. Assessment of structural shifts in the sphere of production, end-use of products and income generation by type of economic activity (P104-03-24) - Strizhkova L.A.
The project is used in the preparation of a socio-economic forecast of Russia for the medium term. At the same time, it allows you to create tables of resources and solve static and analytical tasks. First of all, we are talking about detailing the accounts of the SNA: goods and services, production and income generation by economic sector, capital transactions. In addition, the method eliminates the statistical discrepancy between estimates of GDP made by different methods: production; end-use method; the method of forming GDP by sources of income by ensuring the internal balance of the entire system of indicators.
#input-output tables #intersectoral balance model #scenario conditions #export #import
Expected results:


    · Operational estimates of input-output tables for 2021-2024 in basic and buyer's prices.

    · Input-output forecast tables for 2025-2027 in comparable prices and prices of current years.

    · Results of the analysis of scenario conditions and key forecast indicators for the options being developed by the Russian Ministry of Economic Development for the medium term using the intersectoral balance model.

    · Assessment of the main and specific factors of economic growth in 2020-2027.

    · The results of an analysis of shifts in the structure of costs, production, end-use of goods and services, exports, imports and income generation by type of economic activity in the forecast and forecast period.

    · Proposals to evaluate the forecast indicators of consolidated accounts for the medium term and to coordinate the production and investment indicators of the forecast.


The development of a quarterly-monthly forecasting model for macroeconomic indicators in the system of national accounts in the context of enlarged sectors of the economy and industry (the main industries of the manufacturing sector). Assessment of value added by type of economic activity and components of GDP by usage account based on monthly operational information. Assessment and forecast of the main macroeconomic indicators of the SNA accounts for the months of the current year and the quarters of the forecast period in conjunction with the indicators of the medium-term forecast (P105-03-24) - Strizhkova L.A.
The modern system of national accounts is one of the main, fundamental foundations of macroeconomic analysis, which, in turn, makes it possible to adequately assess the state of the economy and develop recommendations for its harmonious development. Proper understanding of the ongoing economic processes and their regulation make it possible to avoid or mitigate the consequences of economic crises.
#Macroeconomic indicators #national accounts #temporal disaggregation method #GDP #deflator indices #quarterly and annual estimates of indicators
Expected results: * Development of a quarterly-monthly forecasting model of the main macroeconomic indicators in the system of national accounts in the context of enlarged sectors of the economy and industry in the context of types of economic activity and sections of industrial production.

· Assessment of value added by type of economic activity and key indicators of GDP utilization based on monthly operational information for 2024.

· Assessment and forecast of the main indicators of the SNA accounts for the months of 2024 and the quarters of 2024-2027 in conjunction with the indicators of the medium-term forecast.


Analysis of approaches and standards developed within the framework of the international IPAC platform of the OECD to improve energy efficiency and reduce greenhouse gas emissions in order to prepare proposals for improving public policy in this area (P106-05-24) - Levashenko A.D.
#energy saving #energy efficiency #carbon intensity #government regulation and support #reduction of greenhouse emissions
Expected results:

    · Development of a methodology and model for accounting for energy efficiency improvements, which makes it possible to estimate the amount of savings in fuel and energy resources expressed in CO2-eq.

    · Analysis of the dynamics of the energy intensity of the GDP of the Russian Federation and GRP of the subjects of the Russian Federation due to the technological factor.